Pedro Gonzalez-Fernandez

Research

Research

Publications

Gonzalez-Fernandez, P; Bosch-Rosa,C; Meissner, T. (2025): "Direct Elicitation of Parametric Belief Distributions: An application to inflation expectations". Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization: 233, 106947

Working Papers

Gonzalez-Fernandez, P; Lu, S.E.; Normann, H. (2026): "Large Language Models can Predict Human Strategic Decisions". Working paper. (NEW! ⭐ Jan.2026)

Gonzalez-Fernandez, P; Terstiege, S; Tsakas; E. (2025): ''Regulating Information''. Working Paper.

Gonzalez-Fernandez, P. (2024): "Belief Bias Identification". Working Paper.

Work in Progress

"Ability, Expectations and Cheating: A reference-dependent model" with Raymond Duch and Peiran Jiao

Phone User? Enable Desktop Mode to visualize the Belief Elicitation Tool!

The belief elicitation tool works best in Desktop Mode. Follow these quick steps to enable it and visualize the tool right here:

For Chrome users:

Tap the three-dot menu (•••) in the top-right corner of the browser.
Select "Desktop site" from the dropdown menu.

For Safari users:

Tap the "AA" icon in the address bar (on the left side of the URL field).
Select "Request Desktop Website" from the menu.

Pedro Gonzalez-Fernandez